Unlike last year, there is no active cyclone around the globe, more so in the Southern Hemisphere abeam Peninsular India, to detract monsoon. The only ‘invest’ area is far to the west, near Madagascar, unlikely to have any impact, said Skymet
New Delhi:
After IMD, private weather forecaster Skymet said has predicted that the onset date of ‘Southwest Monsoon-2024’ over Kerala this year by June 1.
Monsoon is expected on 01st June with an error margin of +/- 3 days, said Skymet.
Prior to the onset of 01st June, hefty pre-monsoon thundershowers are expected over Lakshadweep, Kerala and Coastal Karnataka, said Skymet on Friday.
Unlike last year, there is no active cyclone around the globe, more so in the Southern Hemisphere abeam Peninsular India, to detract monsoon. The only ‘invest’ area is far to the west, near Madagascar, unlikely to have any impact, added Skymet.
The mainland onset of monsoon has a standard deviation of seven days. In the last 10 years, the earliest arrival was on 29th May in 2018 and 2022 and the most delayed onset on 08th June in 2019 and 2023.
This year, both IMD and Skymet have predicted a bumper monsoon season with India’s cumulative rainfall expected to be ‘above normal’.
Monsoon rainfall over the country between June to September is likely to be “above normal” at 106% of the long period average (LPA) with a model error of +/-5%, the IMD said in its long-range forecast on April 15. The southwest monsoon is very likely to advance into the South Andaman Sea, some parts of the southeast Bay of Bengal and the Nicobar islands around 19th May, 2024,” the IMD said on Monday,
The IMD has also forecast a fresh spell of heatwave over northwest India starting May 16. There is likely to be a gradual rise by about 3-5 degrees Celsius in maximum temperatures over many parts of northwest and east India during the next five days.
A good bountiful rain should help boost farm production and fill up the reservoirs, thereby aiding healthy growth for the Indian economy. The rains also determine the economic well-being of the largely agrarian sector.